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Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
HL

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Hibernian

Duran (11'), Bailey (34'), Cash (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 2-0 Hibernian (Aston Villa win 7-0 on aggregate)

Able to play out the second leg in second gear, Aston Villa should serenely cruise through to the group stage by beating Hibernian again. Managerless Hibs are in disarray at the moment, and they will only have damage limitation in mind when they travel south to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
48.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.87%28.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 62.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)60.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.71%
    Hibernian 28.42%
    Draw 22.86%
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Hibernian 0-5 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Everton
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Lazio
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hibernian 2-3 Livingston
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-5 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Raith Rovers
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Luzern 2-2 Hibernian
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 3-1 Luzern
Thursday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League


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