Able to play out the second leg in second gear, Aston Villa should serenely cruise through to the group stage by beating Hibernian again. Managerless Hibs are in disarray at the moment, and they will only have damage limitation in mind when they travel south to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Hibernian
48.71% ( -0)	22.87%	28.42% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.02% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.36% (

38.64% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.05% (

60.94% (

-0)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

16.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.39%

45.61% (

-0)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

26.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

61.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 48.71%

Hibernian 28.42%

Draw 22.86%

Aston Villa	Draw	Hibernian
2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.71%	1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.21% 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.42%