SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aston Villa |
36.25% ( 0.11) | 24.4% ( 0.03) | 39.34% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( -0.13) | 42.9% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.13) | 65.3% ( 0.13) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0) | 23.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -0) | 57.4% ( 0) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( -0.13) | 21.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( -0.19) | 55.05% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.26% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.34% |
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