Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
