Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Almeria in this match.
