Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
