SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 62.07% | 21.98% | 15.94% |
| Both teams to score 47.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% | 49.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% | 71.7% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% | 15.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.65% | 44.35% |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.99% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.87% | 80.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 6.05% 4-0 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.11% Total : 62.06% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.51% Total : 15.94% |
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