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Segunda Division | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Jose Zorrilla

Real Valladolid
5 - 1
Amorebieta

Weissman (14'), Leon (19', 61', 71'), Anuar (87')
Plano (30'), Mesa (32'), Sanchez (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guruzeta (54')
Lozano (26')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Valladolid and Amorebieta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAmorebieta
62.07%21.98%15.94%
Both teams to score 47.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.7%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52%15.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65%44.35%
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99%44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87%80.13%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 62.06%
    Amorebieta 15.94%
    Draw 21.98%
Real ValladolidDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 12.7%
2-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 6.05%
4-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.49%
5-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 62.06%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.59%
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 15.94%

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