Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
