Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
