Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
