Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.23) 
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