Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
