SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Ponferradina |
52.18% ( 1.07) | 24.43% ( -0.13) | 23.38% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( -0.32) | 49.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( -0.29) | 71.82% ( 0.29) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.3) | 19.06% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( 0.49) | 50.66% ( -0.49) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( -1.01) | 35.92% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% ( -1.05) | 72.7% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.38% |
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