Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
