Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
