SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Leganes |
41.35% ( 0.87) | 28.43% ( -0.33) | 30.21% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.34% ( 0.93) | 60.65% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.26% ( 0.7) | 80.73% ( -0.7) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( 0.95) | 28.87% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( 1.17) | 64.73% ( -1.17) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( 0.09) | 36.12% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.09% ( 0.09) | 72.9% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.21% |
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