Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
