Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Tenerife	Draw	Ponferradina
51.97% ( -0.07)	26.6% ( 0.01)	21.44% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 43.53% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.38% (

0.04)

59.62% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.05% (

0.03)

79.95% (

-0.03)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

-0.01)

23.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

-0.02)

56.99% (

0.02)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.62% (

0.1)

43.38% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.39% (

0.08)

79.61% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Tenerife 51.96%

Ponferradina 21.44%

Draw 26.59%

Tenerife	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.96%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.44%