SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
| 16 | Lugo | 41 | -7 | 47 |
| 17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
56% ( 2.13) | 25.42% ( -0.75) | 18.58% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.42% ( 1.01) | 58.58% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% ( 0.78) | 79.14% ( -0.78) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 1.3) | 20.98% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( 1.99) | 53.74% ( -1.99) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( -1) | 45.97% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.31% ( -0.79) | 81.69% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.58% |
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