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Segunda Division | Gameweek 37
Apr 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo
2 - 2
Zaragoza

Barreiro (44'), Venancio (82')
Varo (62'), Juanpe (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adrian (64' pen.), Alvarez (90+7')
Peybernes (68'), Azon (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Real Zaragoza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 30.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawReal Zaragoza
30.05%30.65%39.3%
Both teams to score 39.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.43%67.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.35%85.65%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88%40.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24%76.76%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38%33.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74%70.26%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 30.05%
    Real Zaragoza 39.29%
    Draw 30.64%
LugoDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 30.05%
0-0 @ 13.48%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.64%
0-1 @ 14.7%
0-2 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-3 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.29%

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