Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
