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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
ML

Lazio
3 - 0
AC Milan

Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
41.64%24.2%34.17%
Both teams to score 60.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73%42.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33%64.67%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06%52.94%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73%24.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37%58.63%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 41.64%
    AC Milan 34.17%
    Draw 24.19%
LazioDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.85%
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.17%

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