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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
JL

AC Milan
1 - 3
Juventus

Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
28.53%22.59%48.88%
Both teams to score 63.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8%37.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59%59.4%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04%59.96%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44%15.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49%44.51%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 28.53%
    Juventus 48.88%
    Draw 22.58%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 6.93%
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 3.92%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-1 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.8%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 4%
1-4 @ 2.7%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 48.88%

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