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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
LL

AC Milan
3 - 2
Lazio

Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
52.56%23.1%24.34%
Both teams to score 57.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.83%43.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.43%65.57%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56%16.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88%46.12%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55%31.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17%67.83%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 52.56%
    Lazio 24.34%
    Draw 23.09%
AC MilanDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.34%

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