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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
ML

Benevento
0 - 2
AC Milan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (15' pen.), Leao (49')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (78'), Leao (80')
Tonali (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawAC Milan
20.7%21.37%57.93%
Both teams to score 58.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46%39.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12%61.88%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8%69.2%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57%13.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61%40.39%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 20.7%
    AC Milan 57.93%
    Draw 21.37%
BeneventoDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.51%
1-0 @ 4.91%
2-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.07%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 20.7%
1-1 @ 9.85%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.37%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 5.92%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.32%
0-4 @ 2.97%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.34%
0-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 57.93%

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