Spezia
1 - 2
Hellas Verona

Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spezia 1-3 Hellas Verona

Despite the result before the scheduled break, the pressure remains firmly on Spezia's shoulders ahead of this game. With Verona able to play with a greater freedom, we are backing the visitors to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
33.37%	26.2%	40.42%

Both teams to score 53.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.6%

51.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78%

73.21%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93%

65.06%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95%

25.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27%

59.72%

Score Analysis

Spezia 33.37%

Hellas Verona 40.42%

Draw 26.19%

Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.37%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.42%