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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
TL

AC Milan
2 - 0
Torino

Leao (25'), Kessie (36' pen.)
Pioli (24'), Diaz (38'), Romagnoli (41'), Tonali (45+1'), Dalot (65'), Leao (80'), Calabria (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rincon (26'), Segre (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.02%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
68.02%17.69%14.29%
Both teams to score 58.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.45%33.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.64%55.36%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.97%9.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.26%30.74%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84%36.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06%72.94%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.02%
    Torino 14.29%
    Draw 17.69%
AC MilanDrawTorino
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 7.7%
3-0 @ 7.57%
4-1 @ 4.63%
4-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.92%
4-2 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 68.02%
1-1 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.89%
0-0 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.69%
1-2 @ 4.06%
0-1 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 14.29%

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