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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
JL

Atalanta
1 - 0
Juventus

Malinovskyi (87')
Gosens (78'), Malinovskyi (79'), Djimsiti (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Ligt (72'), Bonucci (73'), Cuadrado (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawJuventus
37.99%24.2%37.81%
Both teams to score 60.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15%41.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75%64.25%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96%22.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63%55.36%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87%22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 37.99%
    Juventus 37.81%
    Draw 24.2%
Atalanta BCDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.99%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.81%

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