Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.