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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HV

Lazio
1 - 2
Hellas Verona

Caicedo (56')
Akpa-Akpro (59'), Caicedo (64'), Reina (68'), Marusic (79'), Fares (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lazzari (45' og.), Tameze (67')
Salcedo (74'), Magnani (78'), Colley (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawHellas Verona
57.93%21.56%20.51%
Both teams to score 57.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31%40.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93%63.07%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19%13.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86%41.14%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86%70.13%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 57.93%
    Hellas Verona 20.51%
    Draw 21.55%
LazioDrawHellas Verona
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 3.24%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 57.93%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 5.42%
0-0 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.55%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-1 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 20.51%

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