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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
GL

Bologna
2 - 2
Genoa

Hickey (49'), Arnautovic (85' pen.)
Dominguez (30'), Bonifazi (59'), Medel (72')
Mihajlovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Destro (55'), Criscito (89' pen.)
Fares (43'), Destro (56'), Behrami (60'), Vanheusden (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawGenoa
55.17%22.71%22.12%
Both teams to score 55.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2%43.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81%66.19%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24%15.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12%44.87%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27%33.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61%70.38%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 55.17%
    Genoa 22.12%
    Draw 22.7%
BolognaDrawGenoa
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-0 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 55.17%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 22.12%

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