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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
EL

Roma
7 - 0
Empoli

Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Empoli

Empoli will finally break their goal drought, but points may continue to elude them; if Roma can pair Lukaku and Dybala together for a sustained spell, the capital club's ailing fortunes can dramatically change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawEmpoli
58.29% (-1.646 -1.65) 23.67% (0.535 0.54) 18.04% (1.11 1.11)
Both teams to score 46.47% (0.497 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.434 -0.43)53.03% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.373 -0.37)74.62% (0.373 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.747 -0.75)17.96% (0.747 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-1.303 -1.3)48.8% (1.301 1.3)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.65% (1.112 1.11)43.35% (-1.114 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (0.916 0.92)79.58% (-0.916 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Roma 58.28%
    Empoli 18.04%
    Draw 23.66%
RomaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 13.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.47% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.305 0.31)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.206 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 18.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Roma
Saturday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-2 Roma
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Farense 2-4 Roma
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Cittadella
Saturday, August 12 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A


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