Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
35.93% ( -2.97) | 26.44% ( -0.24) | 37.62% ( 3.21) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.92% ( 1.11) | 52.07% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( 0.96) | 73.8% ( -0.96) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( -1.19) | 27.87% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( -1.54) | 63.48% ( 1.54) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 2.46) | 26.89% ( -2.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 3.12) | 62.2% ( -3.13) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.72) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.43) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.62% |
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