Torino (1,370) and Bologna (1,326) have played the most minutes on level terms in Serie A this season, so it is sure to be a close-fought contest on Friday.
With one goal splitting them, the hosts can end their visitors' unbeaten streak and extend their own, thanks to a more potent attack.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
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