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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
TL

Bologna
2 - 1
Torino

Orsolini (64'), Posch (73')
Lucumi (24'), Vignato (77'), Skorupski (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukic (26' pen.)
Milinkovic-Savic (73'), Ricci (85'), Vojvoda (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Monday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-1 Torino

Both teams have scored at a rate of around one goal per game in Serie A this season, and under Ivan Juric, Torino tend to keep things tight. Therefore, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards at Dall'Ara, which would see either side extend their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawTorino
47.31% (0.3 0.3) 25.95% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 26.74% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)53.22% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.023 0.02)74.78% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.148 0.15)22.49% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (0.21700000000001 0.22)56.05% (-0.214 -0.21)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)34.88% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (-0.203 -0.2)71.61% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 47.31%
    Torino 26.74%
    Draw 25.94%
BolognaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Monday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Cagliari
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Torino
Sunday, October 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 4-0 Cittadella
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Torino
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A


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