SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Bologna |
69.81% ( 2.53) | 18.47% ( -0.92) | 11.72% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.2) | 43.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.19) | 66.13% ( -0.19) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( 0.74) | 11.35% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.95% ( 1.59) | 36.05% ( -1.59) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.3% ( -2.49) | 46.7% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.74% ( -1.97) | 82.26% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.28)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.55% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.47% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.72% |
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