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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
TL

Empoli
0 - 1
Torino


Grassi (80'), Pezzella (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adams (70')
Masina (8'), Coco (12'), Holmgren Pedersen (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-4 Empoli
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Torino

Slightly weakened due to further absences, Empoli could see their resurgence stalled by Torino, who rarely concede more than once but struggle to score. The hosts have also won just one Serie A match at the Castellani this term, so Toro can at least leave Tuscany with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torino in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawTorino
30.03% (0.023 0.02) 29.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 40.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)82.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)37.51% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.27% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 30.03%
    Torino 40.86%
    Draw 29.09%
EmpoliDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.09%
0-1 @ 13.57%
0-2 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 40.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-4 Empoli
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Empoli (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Empoli
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Udinese
Monday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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