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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
CL

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Crotone

Kalinic (16'), Dimarco (25')
Ceccherini (13'), Lovato (42'), Magnani (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messias (55')
Djidji (47'), Reca (56'), Pereira (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawCrotone
41.98%24.41%33.61%
Both teams to score 59.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58%43.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19%65.81%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.46%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87%25.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17%59.83%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 41.98%
    Crotone 33.61%
    Draw 24.4%
Hellas VeronaDrawCrotone
2-1 @ 8.9%
1-0 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.61%

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