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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
SL

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Sampdoria

Zaccagni (70' pen.)
Faraoni (57'), Salcedo (77')
Barak (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ekdal (41'), Verre (54')
Verre (20'), Tonelli (29'), Damsgaard (69'), Silva (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSampdoria
44.72%23.99%31.29%
Both teams to score 59.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71%42.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31%64.69%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23%50.76%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01%25.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99%61.01%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 44.72%
    Sampdoria 31.29%
    Draw 23.98%
Hellas VeronaDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-1 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.29%

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