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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
BL

Genoa
2 - 0
Bologna

Zajc (44'), Destro (55')
Radovanovic (66'), Ghiglione (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawBologna
25.53%24.77%49.7%
Both teams to score 53.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67%49.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62%71.37%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23%33.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56%70.43%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02%51.98%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 25.53%
    Bologna 49.69%
    Draw 24.77%
GenoaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-1 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.53%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-2 @ 8.76%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-3 @ 4.72%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.69%

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