Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.