Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
