Since the start of last season, Inter have lost only two of 30 home games played in Serie A, winning on 21 occasions.
With the extra incentive of punishing Fiorentina for having the temerity to beat them - plus keeping title rivals Napoli within one point - the Nerazzurri should secure another success on Milanese soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
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