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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
IL

Hellas Verona
0 - 6
Inter Milan

 
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gaich (31' og.), Calhanoglu (36'), Dzeko (37', 61'), Martinez (55', 90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Inter Milan

In stark contrast to their swashbuckling ways under Igor Tudor last year, Marco Zaffaroni has steadied the ship following managerial turbulence at Verona, and his team have eventually become tougher to beat. Inter are growing in both fluency and confidence, though, and the prize of a top-four finish should serve as enough motivation to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawInter Milan
14.57% (0.655 0.66) 21.64% (0.895 0.9) 63.78% (-1.552 -1.55)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-1.052 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (-2.324 -2.32)50.78% (2.324 2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-2.085 -2.09)72.67% (2.083 2.08)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.43% (-0.452 -0.45)46.57% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.84% (-0.349 -0.35)82.16% (0.348 0.35)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-1.244 -1.24)15.29% (1.244 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (-2.389 -2.39)44% (2.387 2.39)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 14.57%
    Inter Milan 63.77%
    Draw 21.64%
Hellas VeronaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.44% (0.428 0.43)
2-1 @ 3.91% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.08% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 14.57%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.643 0.64)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 13.36% (0.65 0.65)
0-2 @ 12.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.86% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-4 @ 3.69% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 63.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cremonese 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Bologna
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 3-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, April 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, April 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Monza
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League


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