While Inter have gained the most points from losing positions in Serie A this season, Torino (with just four) have accrued the fewest. So if the home side fall behind, an overdue win becomes even more improbable. Even if they are not yet back to the free-flowing football of earlier this year, the champions should have enough guile to break down their hosts - keeping them in touch with their fellow title contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Torino	Draw	Inter Milan
21.67%	22.77%	55.57%

Both teams to score 54.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4%

44.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03%

66.97%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4%

34.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67%

71.33%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1%

15.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86%

45.14%

Score Analysis

Torino 21.67%

Inter Milan 55.56%

Draw 22.76%

Torino	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 5.84% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.67%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 5.5% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.76%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.3% 1-3 @ 6.05% 0-3 @ 5.7% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.78% 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.02% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.56%