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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
FL

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Rabiot (34')
Rabiot (2'), Allegri (3'), Sandro (19'), Bremer (85'), Kostic (88'), Kean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Duncan (31'), Bonaventura (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Fiorentina

The only thing consistent about Fiorentina is their inconsistency, so it is unclear which shade of Viola will turn up in Turin. That notwithstanding, Juventus are growing closer to full strength in terms of personnel and have begun coming to terms with their points penalty - it is the Old Lady who will come out on top, then. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
49.83% (4.308 4.31) 24.14% (-0.854 -0.85) 26.02% (-3.453 -3.45)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (1.435 1.44)46.28% (-1.434 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (1.338 1.34)68.57% (-1.339 -1.34)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (2.372 2.37)18.62% (-2.371 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (3.841 3.84)49.92% (-3.841 -3.84)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-1.838 -1.84)31.75% (1.839 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-2.164 -2.16)68.17% (2.165 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 49.83%
    Fiorentina 26.02%
    Draw 24.14%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.349 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.702 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.565 0.57)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.698 0.7)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.381 0.38)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.413 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.795 -0.8)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.682 -0.68)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Monza
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-3 Atalanta
Sunday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Monza
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 5-1 Juventus
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, February 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Torino
Saturday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia


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