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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Jan 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
LL

Genoa
1 - 1
Lazio

Destro (58')
Destro (59'), Czyborra (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Immobile (15' pen.)
Patric (43'), Milinkovic-Savic (60'), Leiva (69'), Escalante (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawLazio
20.66%22.34%57%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01%43.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63%66.37%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77%35.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01%71.99%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79%15.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15%43.85%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 20.66%
    Lazio 57%
    Draw 22.33%
GenoaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 5.59%
2-1 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.66%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 6.22%
0-3 @ 5.97%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 2.93%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.53%
1-5 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 57%

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