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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
FL

Lazio
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
LazioDrawFiorentina
56.87%23.46%19.66%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.96%72.03%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61%17.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19%47.8%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24%39.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57%76.42%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 56.86%
    Fiorentina 19.66%
    Draw 23.46%
LazioDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 56.86%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 19.66%

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