Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.