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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
SL

Juventus
4 - 2
Sampdoria

Bremer (11'), Rabiot (26', 64'), Soule (90+4')
Fagioli (58')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Augello (31'), Duricic (32')
Rincon (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Sampdoria

Masters of the 1-0 win, Juventus were dealt a taste of their own medicine last weekend, but they should surely build on Thursday's success by getting the better of downtrodden Samp. The visitors can barely buy a goal, while their hosts tend to find a way past even the deepest defence - quite often through set-pieces. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSampdoria
67.99% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63) 19.72% (0.286 0.29) 12.29% (0.346 0.35)
Both teams to score 44.99% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.374 -0.37)47.74% (0.373 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.347 -0.35)69.93% (0.345 0.34)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97% (-0.295 -0.3)13.03% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42% (-0.606 -0.61)39.58% (0.606 0.61)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.73% (0.356 0.36)48.26% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.57% (0.257 0.26)83.42% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 67.98%
    Sampdoria 12.29%
    Draw 19.72%
JuventusDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.72%
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 12.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Juventus
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Sampdoria
Monday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Inter Milan
Monday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Sampdoria
Monday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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