Samp have not won a home match all season, while Verona are yet to claim three points on the road this term; there is not a raft of evidence that either streak will end this weekend which suggests that this six-pointer may finish as a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
0.74) 
-0.29) 
