Having produced just six goals between them so far, a high-scoring classic is unlikely to entertain the locals of La Spezia this weekend. Still over-reliant on Arnautovic, Bologna may once again fail to take maximum points, and their hosts should secure at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Bologna
43.29% ( 0.3)	26.86% ( -0.26)	29.85% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

0.98)

55.13% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

0.81)

76.38% (

-0.81)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.6)

25.25% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.82)

60% (

-0.82)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.49)

33.47% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

0.53)

70.1% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Spezia 43.29%

Bologna 29.85%

Draw 26.86%

Spezia	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.29%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.85%