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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
IL

Bologna
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Soumaoro (31'), De Silvestri (61'), Vignato (82'), Juwara (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (32')
Ranocchia (53'), Brozovic (86'), Bastoni (86'), Gagliardini (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 0-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Bologna win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawInter Milan
16.73%18.71%64.56%
Both teams to score 60.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87%55.13%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96%33.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37%69.63%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22%9.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.49%32.51%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 16.73%
    Inter Milan 64.56%
    Draw 18.71%
BolognaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 4.61%
1-0 @ 3.58%
2-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.98%
3-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 16.73%
1-1 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.71%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 7.5%
0-3 @ 6.77%
1-4 @ 4.36%
2-3 @ 4.15%
0-4 @ 3.94%
2-4 @ 2.41%
1-5 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.83%
2-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 64.56%

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